My Predictions
My Predictions
Just to add to the whole pointless clutter of the discussions in this forum, here are my fearless predictions for the (soon to be over) election:
- Jack
1. Obama will win reelection.
2. The Democratic party will retain a narrow majority in the Senate.
3. The Republican party will retain a majority in the House, but the Democratic party will pick up a small number of seats.
4. Freedom of Religion will survive in this Country, despite what Paul Ryan asserts.
Now, if I'm wrong on any of this, feel free to point it out - endlessly! 2. The Democratic party will retain a narrow majority in the Senate.
3. The Republican party will retain a majority in the House, but the Democratic party will pick up a small number of seats.
4. Freedom of Religion will survive in this Country, despite what Paul Ryan asserts.

- Jack
- Jack
Romney 51% Obama 48% Other (Gary Johnson, etc) 1%
Romney gets 290+ in the Electoral College
Republicans maintain about the same majority size in the House
Republicans narrowly get control of the Senate
Alot of these polls that point to an Obama win or that have it all tied up at this point assume that the Democrats will get equal or greater turnout to 2008. The latest CNN poll for example is D+11, which is absurd. This election will come down to turnout, and I don't believe Obama will get as much as he did in 2008. I see turnout being about equal this time, maybe the Democrats get a D+3 advantage in turnout overall, but Romney still wins in that scenario.
Whatever happens I just hope the election is wrapped up by Wednesday morning. We don't need another one drawn out in the courts or in the media. It will only divide the nation even further.
Romney gets 290+ in the Electoral College
Republicans maintain about the same majority size in the House
Republicans narrowly get control of the Senate
Alot of these polls that point to an Obama win or that have it all tied up at this point assume that the Democrats will get equal or greater turnout to 2008. The latest CNN poll for example is D+11, which is absurd. This election will come down to turnout, and I don't believe Obama will get as much as he did in 2008. I see turnout being about equal this time, maybe the Democrats get a D+3 advantage in turnout overall, but Romney still wins in that scenario.
Whatever happens I just hope the election is wrapped up by Wednesday morning. We don't need another one drawn out in the courts or in the media. It will only divide the nation even further.
:
1. Obama will win reelection.
2. The Democratic party will retain a narrow majority in the Senate.
3. The Republican party will retain a majority in the House, but the Democratic party will pick up a small number of seats.
4. Freedom of Religion will survive in this Country, despite what Paul Ryan asserts.
2. The Democratic party will retain a narrow majority in the Senate.
3. The Republican party will retain a majority in the House, but the Democratic party will pick up a small number of seats.
4. Freedom of Religion will survive in this Country, despite what Paul Ryan asserts.
2. Probably true, but I'll hope Obama's 'negative' coat tails cost the Dems the Senate, too.
3. Sorry, the Dems are not going to have a net gain in the house.
4. I have no idea what this means.
Whatever happens I just hope the election is wrapped up by Wednesday morning.
Romney will win in a semi-landslide. Too many polls that oversample Dems: http://twitchy.com/2012/11/04/cnn-po...-of-absurdity/
Trending Topics
1. The Electoral College hangs at 268-257.
2. Virginia (13) is too close to call.
3. Virginia recount reveals a win by one vote.
4. Polls open in 18 hours and as the last undecided voter in the State I will be choosing the next President.
Hep Me! Hep me somebody! Hep Me!
2. Virginia (13) is too close to call.
3. Virginia recount reveals a win by one vote.
4. Polls open in 18 hours and as the last undecided voter in the State I will be choosing the next President.
Hep Me! Hep me somebody! Hep Me!
http://www.li.com/media/press-releas...-election-year
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...rops-time.html

With NC and Florida going Romney, Romney doesn't need VA.
But I do predict it will go Romney when the votes are counted. Along with Ohio, Indiana, and perhaps even NH and PA. Even Minnesota is in play, which is almost unbelieveable considering the politics of Madison and Milwaukee.
A great indicator is the gap in GA. McCain only won GA by 5.2% in 2008. A friend of mine works in the Georgia Romney campaign and told me last week that Romney leads here by 12.2% now. That doesn't bode well for Obama nationwide.
Good chance it won't be. There are going to be a lot of paper and provisional ballots this year due to the aftermath of Sandy, and NJ has extended the deadline for mailin ballots to be received to 11/19 (but requiring a postmark no later than today). Not that NJ is a state in play on the national scene, but nothing is official till they certify the vote.









